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IndiGo posts Rs 1,879-crore loss as high fuel costs, geopolitical woes hit; capacity cuts & yield management offer only partial relief, says CEO Willie Walsh

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In short

IndiGo is rationalising its flight schedule to manage elevated fuel expenses, resulting in a slight contraction of available seats this quarter compared to the prior year. Despite flat projected occupancy during the festive period, higher airfares are expected to increase passenger revenue by more than 25%. Management views these tactical capacity cuts as only partial mitigations against existing headwinds. Moving forward, the airline intends to maintain its long-term investment pace and target a larger share of India's international market.

Key points

  • IndiGo is actively adjusting flight capacity on an individual basis while raising fares t…: IndiGo is actively adjusting flight capacity on an individual basis while raising fares to soften the impact of elevated jet fuel costs.
  • Yield management measures and seat adjustments offer only partial relief against the airl…: Yield management measures and seat adjustments offer only partial relief against the airline's immediate geopolitical and expenditure headwinds.
  • Aircraft deliveries and international route expansion programs will proceed on schedule w…: Aircraft deliveries and international route expansion programs will proceed on schedule without any pauses caused by current fuel market fluctuations.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

IndiGo guided for low single-digit capacity growth in the December quarter, while strong ticket prices would boost passenger revenue by more than 25%. Walsh said while fares will stay elevated during the current festive quarter, occupancy may remain flat. "We have no choice but to look to increase fares in an effort to offset the very significant increase that we have seen in the fuel bill," he said. IndiGo will also look at rationalising flights to limit the impact of prevailing higher fuel prices. "We remain mindful of immediate challenges, but pricing remains strong," he said. "We are looking at a network on a flight-by-flight basis to arrive at a decision."

Data from aviation analytics firm Cirium showed IndiGo will operate 1.6% less seats this quarter compared to last year. The October to December quarter is considered a peak period for airlines as it comprises major festivals such as Diwali and Christmas besides New Year travel. Walsh said that IndiGo doesn't have any plan to go slow on taking delivery of new planes as it remains bullish on strong demand…

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