Politics1 min read

The pollsters had got it wrong on the US midterms, said Nige. That aged well

By · Via The Guardian Politics · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Nigel Farage had used his GB News programme to dismiss professional pollsters, predicting Republican victories due to Donald Trump's backing and over $400 million from Elon Musk. Instead, American voters turned against Trump amid grievances over rising energy costs and unkept foreign conflict promises, leaving his British allies scrambling. The shift led Kemi Badenoch and her shadow cabinet to quietly purge supportive statements from their social media feeds. Farage escaped direct confrontation during an otherwise routine exchange led by deputies Louise Haigh and Alex Burghart.

Key points

  • Nigel Farage managed to avoid direct scrutiny during Prime Minister's Questions even as R…: Nigel Farage managed to avoid direct scrutiny during Prime Minister's Questions even as Reform UK drops in national polls.
  • Conservative leadership swiftly distanced themselves from Donald Trump once the American…: Conservative leadership swiftly distanced themselves from Donald Trump once the American midterm election results became clear.
  • Deputy leaders Louise Haigh and Alex Burghart led an unremarkable parliamentary exchange…: Deputy leaders Louise Haigh and Alex Burghart led an unremarkable parliamentary exchange while key party leaders were absent.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

In what counts as breaking news on this slowest of slow Wednesdays in Westminster – most eyes were on the US midterm elections – it was nice to be able to report that Nigel Farage was in the Commons for prime minister’s questions. Not something you can often say.

Despite Reform tanking in the polls, Nige still regards himself as the official opposition and considers it a major insult that he isn’t given six questions every week. Today he was happy not to get one. Not even Nige’s magic shield of narcissism would have been able to save him from hubris. An embarrassment of epic proportions.

On Tuesday night, Farage had used his GB News show to insist that the American pollsters had got it wrong. Sticking his neck on the line against what he dismissed as “the liberal consensus”, he was adamant that the Republicans would come good. How could they not, with Donald Trump as president and more than $400m of Elon Musk’s money behind them?

Only it didn’t quite turn out that way. The Donald had said…

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