International climate negotiations face immense hurdles even as political shifts in Brazil and the United States offer modest diplomatic relief. Global leaders face criticism for spotty attendance, with the UK's Andy Burnham serving as the sole G7 leader in Turkey while French and German counterparts gathered in Dublin. Negotiators are currently pushing a resolution to secure 35% of worldwide energy from electricity by 2035 despite resistance from fossil fuel producers. These efforts unfold alongside persistent debates regarding climate finance accountability for developing states and domestic disputes like the UK's pending Rosebank oil decision.
Key points
Summit delegates are pushing an ambitious target to generate 35% of global energy from el…: Summit delegates are pushing an ambitious target to generate 35% of global energy from electricity by 2035 despite producer resistance.
Both Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanes…: Both Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese drew scrutiny over their handling of fossil fuel messaging.
Developing countries continue to demand robust accountability frameworks regarding pledge…: Developing countries continue to demand robust accountability frameworks regarding pledged international climate finance.
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The Cop31 climate talks have acquired something their delegates scarcely expected: a little political breathing space. The comeback by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of Brazil’s presidential race was important for many reasons. Victory for his opponent, Flávio Bolsonaro, would have marked a dangerous retreat from democracy. But Mr Bolsonaro’s commitment to environmental deregulation would also have spelled disaster for the Amazon, making Lula’s re-election a big win for the climate. Similarly, success by Democrats in the US midterms means that Donald Trump’s destructive grip has been loosened. If they win back the White House in 2028, the US should rejoin the UN process in time for Cop34.
While the diplomatic picture is less bleak than it might have been, the threat level remains high and rising. António Guterres used his last Cop as UN secretary general to issue a pithy warning that “it’s make or bake time”. With the latest analysis pointing to heating of 2.7C by the end of the century – far beyond the 1.5C target in the Paris agreement – governments face…
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