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Sierra Club expects US power emissions to hit 2.1B metric tons by 2030, up 42% on 2025 and erasing 15 years of cuts, with off-grid data centers matching Mexico (Bloomberg)

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In short

The analysis by the Sierra Club indicates power-sector pollution will climb significantly through the end of the decade. This anticipated rise will fully undo 15 years of emission reductions previously secured by the power industry. Furthermore, dedicated off-grid facilities supporting data centers are forecast to generate pollution equal to Mexico's total national output.

Key points

  • Power sector expansion is projected to wipe out 15 years of achieved emission cuts.: Power sector expansion is projected to wipe out 15 years of achieved emission cuts.
  • Surging emissions present a substantial setback for overall power-industry decarbonizatio…: Surging emissions present a substantial setback for overall power-industry decarbonization progress.
  • Off-grid data facilities are emerging as a major contributor to rising greenhouse gas tot…: Off-grid data facilities are emerging as a major contributor to rising greenhouse gas totals.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Bloomberg : Sierra Club expects US power emissions to hit 2.1B metric tons by 2030, up 42% on 2025 and erasing 15 years of cuts, with off-grid data centers matching Mexico   —  The boom is set to produce enough greenhouse gases to cancel out 15 years of declines in power-sector emissions, according to a Sierra Club analysis.

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