British intelligence firm MAIAR identified major building projects at the Garmdareh base in Karaj and the Shahroud base in northern Iran, alongside repairs at a dozen other military locations. Workers have installed new roofs at the damaged Kermanshah missile base and reinforced an underground bunker at the Parchin military complex. Additionally, ongoing digging near tunnel entrances close to the Fordo uranium enrichment site indicates broad fortification of sensitive assets. These visible developments contradict claims by United States officials that recent military strikes degraded up to 90% of Iran's industrial defense capacity.
Key points
The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps is actively fortifying vital defense infrastructur…: The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps is actively fortifying vital defense infrastructure underground to survive future aerial bombardments.
Subterranean military expansion poses severe operational challenges for foreign intellige…: Subterranean military expansion poses severe operational challenges for foreign intelligence agencies trying to monitor Iranian readiness.
Iranian state television footage showing missile stockpiles conflicts with Pentagon asses…: Iranian state television footage showing missile stockpiles conflicts with Pentagon assessments that Iran's weapons capacity was mostly depleted.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
- Published
Iran appears to be undertaking significant new construction near at least two of its major missile sites and repairing bases damaged by months of US and Israeli air strikes, analysis of satellite images suggests.
Evidence of digging and new buildings are visible in satellite imagery taken in November at the Garmdareh military base in Karaj near the capital Tehran and the Shahroud base in the north, analysts at British intelligence company MAIAR, who reviewed the photos, told BBC Verify.
At least 12 other military sites, including missile complexes and air bases, appear to show signs of repairs. New roofs have been built on destroyed buildings at the Kermanshah missile base in western Iran, near the border with Iraq, while damaged buildings and debris have been cleared at the Parchin military complex - which has been repeatedly repaired despite a succession of air strikes - east of the capital.
The excavations near Shahroud could potentially be related to the production of missiles, said Jim Lamson, a former CIA analyst who focused on Iran. He said that because the nearby…
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