Finance1 min read

Yen steady before BOJ, AI jitters drive Treasury rally, weigh on dollar

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In short

Safe-haven demand pulled 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields down to one-month lows, softening the dollar index to 101.77. The shift follows a busy central banking cycle where the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Reserve Bank of New Zealand all held benchmark rates steady. Although the Bank of Japan is widely anticipated to maintain its current 1.25 per cent rate, markets are heavily pricing in a December policy adjustment. In commodity markets, Brent crude hovered near multi-month highs, on track for an 11.5 per cent monthly advance.

Key points

  • A renewed equities selloff driven by artificial intelligence shares has pushed global cap…: A renewed equities selloff driven by artificial intelligence shares has pushed global capital toward the perceived safety of government debt.
  • While the Bank of Japan is projected to hold rates at 1.25 per cent, an impending shift b…: While the Bank of Japan is projected to hold rates at 1.25 per cent, an impending shift before year-end remains anticipated.
  • Lingering Middle East conflict and high energy prices continue to support expectations fo…: Lingering Middle East conflict and high energy prices continue to support expectations for sustained monetary tightening across major economies.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

HONG KONG, Oct 30 : The yen was steady on Friday ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy decision, while the dollar tracked Treasury yields lower as a fresh wave of selling in AI shares triggered a flight to safety.

The BOJ is set to keep interest rates on hold at 1.25 per cent in a widely anticipated move despite elevated inflation pressures, with a hawkish tone expected and markets pricing in about an 80 per cent chance of a December hike.

The yen weakened a touch on the day to around 157.815 per dollar and was on track for a 0.2 per cent decline this month against the dollar.

The BOJ will wrap up a packed week of central bank decisions, with the European Central Bank, the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand all leaving interest rates unchanged as they bide their time amid stubborn inflation and tightening financial conditions.

But they are by no means done, with energy prices near multi-month highs and no resolution to the conflict in the Middle East in sight.…

Finance