Finance1 min read

Yen Falls to Cusp of 160 Level, Fanning Intervention Risk

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The currency's ongoing slide stems from climbing U.S. bond yields alongside Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, which sharply contrast with the Bank of Japan's 1.25% benchmark rate. Japanese policymakers, including chief currency official Atsushi Mimura and Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, have warned that recent declines are occurring too quickly. Washington has also signaled alignment, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressing support for a stronger Japanese currency. Over the summer, authorities demonstrated their willingness to enter the market by deploying ¥15.4 trillion across three separate intervention operations.

Key points

  • Rising U.S. Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate increases co…: Rising U.S. Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate increases continue to drive downward pressure on the yen.
  • Japanese authorities maintain that rapid and disorderly exchange rate fluctuations will t…: Japanese authorities maintain that rapid and disorderly exchange rate fluctuations will trigger market intervention regardless of specific price targets.
  • Coordinated support from both Tokyo and Washington remains viable following bilateral dis…: Coordinated support from both Tokyo and Washington remains viable following bilateral discussions between Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

(Bloomberg) -- The yen slid to the verge of 160 to the dollar, a key threshold that’s raising the specter that policymakers in Tokyo will swoop in again to defend the currency.

As rising US bond yields pushed the dollar higher, the yen slipped 0.1% to 159.94. It marked the third straight daily decline as traders brace for the Federal Reserve to step up its interest rate hikes, giving investors an incentive to shift cash to the US as yields surge further above those in Japan.

Japan’s chief currency official Atsushi Mimura on Thursday said he has a strong impression that the currency moves over the past few days have been “too fast” and reminded investors of the currency-market intervention a few months ago, when the yen hit a 40-year low of nearly 164 to the dollar.

“Mimura seems to be sending a signal that 160 is some sort of line in the sand, which is always risky since markets never met a line in the sand that they didn’t want to test,” said Win Thin, chief economist at Bank…

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