Politics1 min read

Why AI ads and foreign meddling did not seem to sway the US midterm elections

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Across the campaign cycle, political groups invested more than $187 million into almost 300 synthetic advertisements that frequently depicted absurd scenarios, including fabricated clips of candidates defacing religious texts or celebrating terrorism. Rather than swaying the electorate, these tactics fell flat with voters, and voting infrastructure remained entirely uncompromised throughout the election. Meanwhile, covert state-backed operations originating from adversaries like China, Russia, and Iran generated minimal traction outside closed online networks. While the immediate results remained unaffected, experts warn that unspotted interference could still contribute to eroding democrat…

Key points

  • Voters largely viewed AI-generated political ads as absurd and overtly manipulative rathe…: Voters largely viewed AI-generated political ads as absurd and overtly manipulative rather than convincing arguments.
  • Covert interference campaigns linked to Russia, China, and Iran struggled to reach genuin…: Covert interference campaigns linked to Russia, China, and Iran struggled to reach genuine voters and failed to surge around election day.
  • Intelligence analysts warn that foreign and synthetic campaigns still pose a long-term th…: Intelligence analysts warn that foreign and synthetic campaigns still pose a long-term threat to public trust and national cohesion.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The real harm may have been done elsewhere, in the deepening of divisions and erosion of trust, experts told CNA.

SINGAPORE: A hyperrealistic video showed then-United States election candidate Abdul El-Sayed, from the Democratic party, laughing at cards that read “Celebrate 9/11”. In another video, James Talarico, also a Democratic hopeful, was depicted defacing a Bible with a crayon.

These were advertisements generated with AI. In the last weekend before the Nov 3 US midterm elections, the American research outfit Wesleyan Media Project - which tracks political advertising - identified close to 300 such ads that were mostly sponsored by the Republican party, and with over US$187 million spent promoting them.

Besides these ads, US intelligence agencies had flagged a separate but related threat: Covert online campaigns linked to foreign governments like Russia, and increasingly run with the help of AI.

Yet after months of such warnings, the elections passed without major disruption or surprises. The Democrats won a landslide victory, as many polls predicted. Among the victors were Mr El-Sayed, who beat Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan; while in…

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