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Who could be behind hoax bomb threats to European air travel?

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Coordinated hoax threats recently triggered multiple flight diversions and led Italy to scramble fighter jets, even though alerts were nearly universally treated as credible except at London's Heathrow. Suspicion has largely fallen on Russia due to recent regional cyber-attacks and drone disruptions publicly attributed to Moscow. Authorities note that while one threat referenced a banned Russian ultra-right faction, it could easily serve as a deceptive cover for other actors. Transport ministries and security forces continue to search for actionable leads to prevent future operational disruption.

Key points

  • European security forces currently possess no hard evidence linking the aviation hoaxes d…: European security forces currently possess no hard evidence linking the aviation hoaxes directly to Russia, Iran, or their proxies.
  • Almost all aviation alerts were treated as credible threats by authorities, with London's…: Almost all aviation alerts were treated as credible threats by authorities, with London's Heathrow airport being a rare exception.
  • Transport ministries are actively working to establish attribution while preparing defens…: Transport ministries are actively working to establish attribution while preparing defensive protocols for subsequent travel disruptions.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

- Published

The warnings came in thick and fast, targeting one airline or airport after another.

In nearly all cases - London's Heathrow airport being a notable exception - they were taken to be credible enough to divert the aircraft in question, or even in Italy's case, to scramble fighter jets to escort it.

They all turned out to be false, which does not, of course, mean that the next ones will not be real.

It is hardly surprising that the simultaneous, co-ordinated nature of these airline hoaxes, coupled with other malicious actions across Europe, are causing some people to point the finger of suspicion at Russia.

Following a series of cyber-attacks and mysterious drone sightings over sensitive sites earlier this year, in the past few days we have seen the remote hacking of supermarket freezers, as well as a blood bank, a suspicious incident on Poland's border with Russia, and in August a drone attack Germany's Leipzig Halle airport which its interior minister publicly blamed on Moscow.

So is Russia behind this?

There are many who argue, based purely…

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