Climate1 min read

What’s the point? Ten years after the Paris treaty, are climate talks getting anywhere?

By · Via The Guardian · Published by Everything Blog

In short

A decade following the Paris agreement, global warming has exceeded the 1.5C threshold for two consecutive years, with the heating rate accelerating to 0.4C per decade. Observers point to the United Nations summit framework's consensus rules, which allow petrostates like Saudi Arabia and Russia to obstruct meaningful progress. Meanwhile, participating nations are quietly undermining their commitments through expanded fossil fuel initiatives and reduced climate finance for developing countries. Notably, the United States, responsible for an estimated one in eight tonnes of current carbon dioxide emissions, has exited the treaty under President Donald Trump.

Key points

  • Consensus-based voting allows petrostates including Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela t…: Consensus-based voting allows petrostates including Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela to effectively veto aggressive climate action.
  • Several summit hosts and signatories continue expanding fossil fuel projects while rollin…: Several summit hosts and signatories continue expanding fossil fuel projects while rolling back critical environmental legislation.
  • Declining climate finance contributions from wealthy nations are creating deep diplomatic…: Declining climate finance contributions from wealthy nations are creating deep diplomatic skepticism regarding international negotiations.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

It was a curious way of conducting negotiations. Ahead of the 2025 climate summit, in the Amazonian port of Belém last year, the Brazilian hosts had taken off the table the issue that most had assumed would be at its heart: concrete plans from each country laying out exactly what they would be doing to cut their greenhouse gas emissions.

Brazil was insisting, instead, that these plans – the bedrock of the Paris agreement – were the business of national governments and not up for negotiation. “In that case, it will be a very short Cop,” one seasoned global south negotiator told the Guardian shortly before, reflecting a widespread unease. “There is nothing to negotiate.”

“They have decided that there is no appetite for negotiation, with the US out of Paris,” said another developing country diplomat. “Countries won’t engage.”

The summit ended with a deal, although few loved it. But, as the faultlines from the Brazilian decision deepen going into this year’s summit, it is clear that the Paris agreement, and climate action around the world, has reached an impasse.

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