Politics1 min read

We need more goat sacrifices

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Significant investments in domestic and international policy frequently yield null results, echoing sociologist Peter Rossi's 1987 observation that the expected impact of major social programs is zero. High-profile efforts—ranging from federal school initiatives to international employment campaigns—have repeatedly failed to move the needle. Conservative priorities have fared no better, with programs like Arkansas Medicaid work rules and relationship counseling achieving none of their central targets. To combat these recurring policy misfires, decision-makers are urged to acknowledge uncertainty before launching sweeping interventions.

Key points

  • High-profile public programs across diverse political ideologies repeatedly demonstrate z…: High-profile public programs across diverse political ideologies repeatedly demonstrate zero measurable impact on targeted social outcomes.
  • Sociologist Peter Rossi formalized these widespread policy shortcomings in 1987 through h…: Sociologist Peter Rossi formalized these widespread policy shortcomings in 1987 through his concept known as the Iron Law of Evaluation.
  • Decision-makers and philanthropists must cultivate procedural humility to openly acknowle…: Decision-makers and philanthropists must cultivate procedural humility to openly acknowledge uncertainty before implementing expansive new interventions.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

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Anyway, onto the post!

Before anybody enacts a major social policy or launches any philanthropic programs, they should sacrifice a goat. There ought to be an entire liturgy of grotesqueries, in fact—pricked fingers, names written in blood, robes, candles, chanting, obsidian blades, still-beating hearts, the whole shebang.

The point of this ritual is not to signal…

Politics