The Reuters/Ipsos survey reveals Democrats holding an eight-point edge over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, backed by an enthusiastic base where nearly half report high excitement to vote. Cost of living concerns remain the paramount issue for 78% of voters, who trust Democrats over Republicans on economic stewardship by double digits. To conclude his campaigning, President Trump held a rally at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool before pivoting to an Election Day schedule devoid of public appearances.
Key points
Heightened Democratic enthusiasm and an eight-point generic ballot lead position the part…: Heightened Democratic enthusiasm and an eight-point generic ballot lead position the party strongly to regain the House majority.
Public dissatisfaction with rising living costs has left voters favoring Democratic econo…: Public dissatisfaction with rising living costs has left voters favoring Democratic economic stewardship over Republican leadership by eleven points.
Trump plans to monitor election night from a private White House reception after completi…: Trump plans to monitor election night from a private White House reception after completing an Election Day devoid of public events.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
President Donald Trump's approval rating remained near its lowest-ever level ahead of Tuesday's US midterm elections, with a growing number of voters viewing their ballots as a chance to register opposition to the Republican leader, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
The poll, completed on Monday, showed Democrats leading Republicans by eight percentage points on the generic congressional ballot, 46% to 38%, even as the gap narrowed from 11 points a week earlier.
The findings point to mounting political challenges for Republicans, fuelled in part by soaring fuel prices following Trump's war on Iran in February. With all 435 seats in the House of Representatives at stake, Democrats are seen as having a stronger chance of reclaiming control of the chamber, while their path in the Senate remains tougher.
Trump's approval rating at 32%Trump, though not on the ballot, remains a central figure in the election. Only 32% of respondents approved of his performance, unchanged from the previous week and just above his record low of 31% recorded two weeks ago.
Among independent voters, 50% said their vote was intended to oppose…
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