Politics1 min read

US midterms: Poll says Trump approval at record low

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The Reuters/Ipsos survey reveals that 46% of voters favor Democratic control of Congress compared to 38% who back Republicans, shrinking from an 11-point gap a week prior. Economic concerns dominate the political landscape, with 78% of respondents naming the rising cost of living as a top issue and trusting Democrats over Republicans to handle it. While Democrats hold a significant enthusiasm advantage and target the 435-seat House, their Senate prospects remain challenged by defensive races in Alaska and Michigan.

Key points

  • Democrats have secured an eight-point national lead over Republicans on the generic congr…: Democrats have secured an eight-point national lead over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot.
  • Voter anxiety over fuel prices and living costs has established the economy as the centra…: Voter anxiety over fuel prices and living costs has established the economy as the central midterm battleground.
  • Republicans are struggling to retain congressional control while Democrats face a difficu…: Republicans are struggling to retain congressional control while Democrats face a difficult defensive map in the Senate.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The poll results underscore Republican vulnerabilities brought on by a surge in fuel prices since Trump launched a war on Iran in February. Voters in the nationwide poll said they preferred Democrats over Republicans - 46% to 38% - in what is known as a "generic ballot" question.

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Still, that 8-percentage-point Democratic advantage was narrower than in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted a week earlier, when Democrats led by 11 points.

The generic ballot question gives an overall view of which party voters nationwide would like to see in charge in Congress, though it does not capture the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the US Senate and US House of Representatives.

Trump's fellow Republicans are fighting to retain the party's majorities in Congress.

Political strategists from both parties think Democrats have the best shot at winning control of the House, where all 435 seats are up for grabs. Democrats face a more difficult path to victory in the US Senate,…

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