Finance1 min read

US Midterm Election Results: Gold price falls 22% from peak before Dhanteras; should you buy after setback to Trump?

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In short

International spot gold gained 2.2% to reach $4,016.01 per ounce following the Democratic victory, which was fueled by voter dissatisfaction over tariffs, inflation, and the war against Iran. However, domestic prices still linger over 22% below their 2026 peak as investors price in a 78% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December 2026. On the Multi Commodity Exchange, December gold futures traded up to ₹1,42,471 per 10 grams amid broader market consolidation. While short-term headwinds persist from anticipated borrowing cost increases, consistent central-bank purchases continue to support the metal's long-term investment profile.

Key points

  • Despite a post-election rebound of roughly 2%, gold values remain depressed by more than…: Despite a post-election rebound of roughly 2%, gold values remain depressed by more than 22% from their peak 2026 levels.
  • Democratic control of Congress will enable the party to block President Donald Trump's le…: Democratic control of Congress will enable the party to block President Donald Trump's legislative proposals and launch investigations into alleged corruption.
  • Sustained purchases by central banks and diversification away from the US dollar provide…: Sustained purchases by central banks and diversification away from the US dollar provide a stable foundation for gold's long-term trajectory.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Gold price outlook: Victory by Democrats in the US midterm elections have added a fresh dimension to the gold price outlook, with the precious metal rising around 2% on Wednesday as the US dollar weakened. Democrats scored a sweeping victory in the US midterm elections on Tuesday (November 3, 2026), winning control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate and dealing a major blow to President Donald Trump and his Republican Party.

The election developments come at a time when domestic gold prices remain more than 22% below their 2026 peak, following a sharp correction driven by rising crude oil prices, inflation concerns and expectations of higher US interest rates.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), December gold futures were quoted at ₹1,42,471 per 10 grams, up around 2%. Internationally, spot gold climbed 2.2% to $4,016.01 per ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery rose 2.2% to $4,026.90.

The victory gives Democrats the power to block Trump's proposals and investigate alleged corruption during the final two years of his presidency. Voters delivered a strong message of dissatisfaction…

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