Finance1 min read

US economy grows faster than expected in report out just ahead of elections

By · Via The Guardian Business · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Economic activity was largely propelled by a 3.8% increase in consumer spending, backed by steady hiring and a low rate of job layoffs. However, households are increasingly dipping into their savings reserves to cope with average gasoline costs that top $4 per gallon. Corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure also poses potential downside risks if costly tech investments fail to yield expected returns. These combined dynamics have led market analysts to project an interest rate increase at the central bank's December meeting.

Key points

  • Economic expansion significantly exceeded the Federal Reserve's estimated 2% non-inflatio…: Economic expansion significantly exceeded the Federal Reserve's estimated 2% non-inflationary benchmark rate ahead of the midterms.
  • Household consumption faces an eventual slowdown as families steadily deplete savings to…: Household consumption faces an eventual slowdown as families steadily deplete savings to cover elevated everyday living costs.
  • Aggressive corporate borrowing to fund uncertain artificial intelligence initiatives coul…: Aggressive corporate borrowing to fund uncertain artificial intelligence initiatives could threaten future business investment growth.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The US economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter as resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment more than offset the impact of higher oil prices stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.

Gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 3.4% annualized rate last quarter, the commerce department’s bureau of economic analysis said in its advance estimate of the third quarter GDP on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP advancing at a 3.2% pace.

Estimates ranged from a 1% growth rate to a 4.2% pace.

The strength in growth is in stark contrast to households’ downbeat assessment of the economy, reflected in Donald Trump’s record-low approval ratings and a sharp deterioration in consumer sentiment. The report was published less than a week before Tuesday’s midterm elections, which will determine control of Congress.

The economy is expanding at a pace that is well above what some Federal Reserve officials regard as the non-inflationary growth rate of around 2%. The US central bank on Wednesday left its benchmark interest rate in the 3.75%-4% range while acknowledging that…

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