The administration is closely monitoring the situation while characterizing the island as a failed state, with references made to Secretary of State Marco Rubio potentially leading the charge. These statements coincide with tightened American economic sanctions aimed directly at maritime oil transports and related shipping enterprises. In response, Cuban diplomats have condemned the embargo as an energy siege that will cause billions of dollars in damage while worsening power outages and food deficits. Analysts, however, remain largely doubtful that a direct armed intervention will be launched before the end of the presidential term in 2029.
Key points
The Cuban Embassy estimated that the U.S. blockade will cost the nation $8 billion betwee…: The Cuban Embassy estimated that the U.S. blockade will cost the nation $8 billion between March 2025 and February 2026.
Foreign policy analysts remain broadly skeptical that Washington will actually execute a…: Foreign policy analysts remain broadly skeptical that Washington will actually execute a military campaign to topple the Havana government.
American strategy is expected to rely primarily on sustained economic pressure rather tha…: American strategy is expected to rely primarily on sustained economic pressure rather than direct armed intervention to achieve its goals.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
U.S. President Donald Trump has said he wants to "get Cuba done" before leaving office in 2029, adding that he would "certainly consider" military intervention against the communist-run Caribbean island.
In an interview with conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt on Thursday, Trump said his administration was monitoring the situation in Havana "very closely" and described Cuba as a "failed" state.
"I want to get Cuba done before I leave," Trump said. His comments marked the first time he has put a timeline on possible military intervention to topple Cuban authorities, according to Politico.
Trump said Secretary of State Marco Rubio, whose parents are from Cuba, "would love to do it" and said he would "certainly consider" a short military operation.
It comes as the U.S. continues to enforce a comprehensive economic embargo against Cuba, a campaign which has contributed to a deepening energy and economic crisis on the island. Cuba has suffered repeated nationwide blackouts in recent months, as well as fuel and food shortages.
The Cuban Embassy in Washington, D.C., estimated on Thursday that the cost of the U.S.…
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