Politics1 min read

Trump may hold off on Iran attacks, if...

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Allied leaders, including Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, have actively lobbied Washington to avoid resuming military strikes. Trump previously signaled plans to strike after the elections, but made no binding commitments following direct pleas from these partners. Intelligence evaluations suggest non-military measures are currently damaging Iran's economy, while military analysts remain cautious about the long-term impact on underground nuclear sites. Even as pause considerations circulate, the Pentagon has moved a third aircraft carrier to the Middle East to maintain operational readiness.

Key points

  • Regional allies argue that the existing naval blockade and economic sanctions are success…: Regional allies argue that the existing naval blockade and economic sanctions are successfully applying pressure on Iran's economy without new strikes.
  • Intelligence assessments warn that further military bombardments would be unlikely to cha…: Intelligence assessments warn that further military bombardments would be unlikely to change Iran's current negotiating stance.
  • Intelligence briefings raised operational concerns over depleted American stockpiles of l…: Intelligence briefings raised operational concerns over depleted American stockpiles of long-range precision munitions despite official assurances from the White House.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Trump has alternated between threats of escalating the war with new strikes and winding down hostilities, and current and former officials say he does not appear to have made up his mind about how to resolve the unpopular conflict, which he launched in February with Israel.

But in meetings with his national security advisers and after a series of intelligence briefings, Trump said he was considering holding off on strikes, said the people, who, like others interviewed for this story, spoke on condition of anonymity.

He has also indicated sympathy for allies in the region who have asked him not to return to a full-fledged war.

"I could end it immediately, but at the request of the nations that I am looking to protect, we are doing it a little bit longer way, a bit more civilly," Trump told sports broadcaster Stephen A. Smith on Thursday.

The war has hiked global fuel prices and proven unpopular with US voters, who handed control of Congress to the Democrats in last week's midterm elections. In a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken shortly before the…

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