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Trump effect: US-based Indian techies are returning, but to what?

By · Via Times of India · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The talent corridor between the two nations is rapidly shifting as outbound tech migration drops while thousands of experienced workers return home. Despite facing much lower salaries dictated by local enterprise standards, many specialists are securing positions across cloud development, DevOps, and data engineering. Global Capability Centers are serving as major landing spots, having absorbed roughly 2,500 senior professionals to lead strategic operations. Industry analysts view the dynamic not as an outright halt to global mobility, but as an ongoing rebalancing that grants local professionals larger strategic mandates.

Key points

  • Shifting American visa policies and artificial intelligence disruptions are pushing the I…: Shifting American visa policies and artificial intelligence disruptions are pushing the Indian-US tech corridor toward a net-positive talent migration for India.
  • Returning professionals encounter a challenging domestic market where employers pay signi…: Returning professionals encounter a challenging domestic market where employers pay significantly lower salaries based on local roles rather than overseas history.
  • Domestic technology firms and capability centers are leveraging repatriated talent for cr…: Domestic technology firms and capability centers are leveraging repatriated talent for critical positions in cloud development, DevOps, and software engineering.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

US President

Donald Trump’s immigration and visa crackdown, AI-led layoffs in the technology sector and rising uncertainty on H-1B visas and green card backlog is prompting a hoard of Indians to return.

But, life is not that rosy for these returnees in India. Professionals who have spent years working in the US are finding it difficult to secure comparable roles, match their previous salaries or negotiate compensation that reflects their overseas experience.

Employers in India are also increasingly looking for specialised skills rather than treating international work experience as an advantage in itself.

So, the important question then is: what are these techies returning to? Are there enough roles to absorb their talent? And, what about the salary levels?How many have returned?

Data from Xpheno, a specialist staffing firm, shared with TOI suggests that in 2026, so far 12,900 professionals have returned. In 2025, 15,100 techies returned to India in the whole year. The number of people who are moving to the US has also taken a hit. In 2025 it stood at 21,200, but in 2026 so far only…

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