Politics1 min read

The ‘breathing space budget’ – breathing space for the government, that is | John Crace

By · Via The Guardian Politics · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Minsters intentionally delayed major fiscal and economic decisions for another year by advancing a package limited to small-scale interventions for consumer finances. This cautious approach successfully minimized immediate post-announcement scrutiny from journalists and analysts who found few hidden liabilities to unpack. However, the government was quickly forced into damage control after a broadcast interview sparked internal panic over welfare spending.

Key points

  • The government minimized scrutiny by limiting the budget to minor interventions and postp…: The government minimized scrutiny by limiting the budget to minor interventions and postponing difficult choices for another year.
  • A broadcast misstep by the chancellor triggered immediate Treasury panic over potential r…: A broadcast misstep by the chancellor triggered immediate Treasury panic over potential reductions to the national benefits bill.
  • The opposition failed to capitalize on the government's limited ambition by offering no c…: The opposition failed to capitalize on the government's limited ambition by offering no concrete fiscal alternatives of its own.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Maybe it had been one of the greatest acts of political genius after all. The day after the budget is usually the moment when things start to fall apart. When clued up journalists and economists have had a chance to go through all the fine points the chancellor would rather everyone had missed. The forecasts that suggest everything is predicated on a wing and a prayer. The hidden unfunded tax cuts. The greater than expected spending commitments.

But on Thursday morning Andy Burnham and John Healey could afford themselves a sigh of relief. All had gone about as well as they could have hoped. It turns out that when you don’t make any massive tax or spending commitments, there isn’t a great deal to unravel. All there had been was a raft of small-scale interventions designed to help people with their personal finances. Call it the Martin Lewis budget. In fact, Healey and Lewis now seem unable to get through the day without spending some time with each other. They certainly can’t stop talking about one another. It’s becoming unhealthily…

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