Climate1 min read

Ten years of the Paris Agreement: Has the world kept its climate promises?

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The Paris Agreement succeeded in curbing the worst projected climate outcomes, reducing expected 2100 warming from 3.6C to about 2.6C. However, record heat from 2023 through 2025 averaged over 1.5C above preindustrial benchmarks, with 2024 marking the first single year to cross that boundary. Global emissions reductions have largely stalled since 2021, and scientists now anticipate long-term average warming will permanently surpass the 1.5C target before the decade ends.

Key points

  • International climate efforts have lowered projected warming to 2.6C by 2100, but progres…: International climate efforts have lowered projected warming to 2.6C by 2100, but progress has essentially stalled since 2021.
  • Scientists and the United Nations conclude that preventing a global temperature overshoot…: Scientists and the United Nations conclude that preventing a global temperature overshoot beyond 1.5C is no longer feasible.
  • Emissions continue to rise in expanding economies like China, India, and Indonesia despit…: Emissions continue to rise in expanding economies like China, India, and Indonesia despite reductions achieved across Japan, Germany, and the United States.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Nearly 200 countries pledged to limit warming to 1.5C. We look at who has delivered and who has fallen short.

Ten years ago, the Paris Agreement entered into force, binding nearly every country to a shared goal: to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5C (2.7F).

A decade on, the deal has helped drive stronger climate policies and a rapid expansion of clean energy. But emissions remain near record highs, temperatures keep climbing and countries are still far from the cuts needed to keep a 1.5C limit within reach.

In this visual explainer, Al Jazeera looks at what the Paris Agreement set out to do, how far global temperatures have risen since and which countries are driving emissions.

What is the Paris Agreement?

The Paris Agreement is a legally binding climate treaty adopted by 196 parties at the United Nations climate summit in Paris, also known as COP21, on December 12, 2015. It entered into force on November 4, 2016.

The United States, the world’s…

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