Finance1 min read

Silver crashes below $60 from $122 and enters oversold zone. What should you do?

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The steep downturn followed a peak of approximately $122 in late January, with prices touching nearly $54 before stabilizing, according to HSBC. While institutional purchases from China and India alongside recovering ETF holdings offer a floor, weakening industrial and jewelry demand continue to sap momentum. Furthermore, elevated producer margins are encouraging miners to launch new projects, which will significantly lift production by 2027.

Key points

  • Non-yielding precious metals are facing strong macroeconomic headwinds from high bond yie…: Non-yielding precious metals are facing strong macroeconomic headwinds from high bond yields, a robust dollar, and persistent interest rate expectations.
  • Modest support from Asian institutional buyers and ETF demand is being counteracted by sl…: Modest support from Asian institutional buyers and ETF demand is being counteracted by slumping industrial and jewelry consumption.
  • Rising recycling volumes, hedging activity, and future mine expansions are expected to ca…: Rising recycling volumes, hedging activity, and future mine expansions are expected to cap major price gains over the near term.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The biggest trigger behind the sell-off is the growing expectation of higher US interest rates. Traders have stepped up bets for a further Federal Reserve rate hike later this year. Rising inflationary pressures, fuelled by higher oil prices amid the Middle East conflict, have further strengthened expectations of tighter monetary policy.

Silver’s safe-haven appeal has also taken a hit. Investors typically turn to safe-haven assets during periods of uncertainty. However, prolonged inflation that prompts central banks to raise interest rates can create a difficult environment for precious metals, including silver.

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Rising bond yields have added to the pressure. Unlike bonds, silver does not generate interest or any other income. As government security yields climb, investors can earn better returns from fixed-income assets, making non-yielding investments such as silver relatively less attractive.

Higher yields also tend to strengthen the US dollar, putting further pressure on precious metals by making them more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Investors often shift…

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