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SBI share price target: Jefferies, Motilal, others see up to 34% upside in state lender. Buy, sell or hold?

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In short

The lender's performance was underpinned by double-digit profit growth and a massive loan book surpassing Rs 52 lakh crore during the quarter. Analysts attribute their positive targets to expanding net interest margins, benign bad-loan ratios, and optimized deposit costs. Furthermore, management remains confident in maintaining domestic margins above 3% through FY27, even as it prepares for transition costs related to the expected credit loss framework.

Key points

  • Emkay Global set the highest target price among peers at Rs 1,350 per share due to improv…: Emkay Global set the highest target price among peers at Rs 1,350 per share due to improving deposit dynamics.
  • Management reiterated long-term domestic net interest margin guidance of above 3% for the…: Management reiterated long-term domestic net interest margin guidance of above 3% for the FY27 fiscal year.
  • The anticipated transition to the expected credit loss framework could impact capital by…: The anticipated transition to the expected credit loss framework could impact capital by up to Rs 19,500 crore over five years.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The growth was supported by an expansion in the bank's loan book, which crossed Rs 52 lakh crore during the quarter. Operating profit rose 7% YoY to Rs 34,226 crore from Rs 31,904 crore. Interest income increased 10% to Rs 1.32 lakh crore, while interest expenses grew at a slower pace of 8% to Rs 82,876 crore.

Read More: SBI Q2 Results: Standalone profit rises 14% YoY to Rs 23,038 crore, NII jumps 15%

Should you buy SBI shares?

Jefferies has maintained its Buy rating on State Bank of India (SBI), with a target price of Rs 1,320 per share, implying an upside potential of 34%.The brokerage said the bank's asset quality remains strong, with gross slippages at 0.5% of loans from the past year, although the metric is not directly comparable with peers. Credit cost stood at 0.2% of average loans, while the gross non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.4%. The specific coverage ratio remained stable at 74%.

Management expects the transition to the expected credit loss (ECL) framework to result in a one-time impact of Rs 1,950 crore,…

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