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Ryanair CEO warns fares could rise by up to 20% in 2027 as fuel bill jumps by $2.2 billion

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In short

Carrier leadership expects an unhedged fuel expense surge to create an estimated 2-billion-euro ($2.2 billion) budgetary shortfall that higher short-haul ticket prices cannot entirely offset. The pressure follows a 15% drop in first-half fiscal profit to 2.15 billion euros ($2.3 billion) caused by a doubling in unhedged fuel costs. In response, the airline is initiating a strict internal cost review to find operational efficiencies. Planned actions include trimming crew rations, exploring temporary wage freezes, and deploying artificial intelligence to enhance daily operations.

Key points

  • Travelers face substantial ticket price hikes because higher short-haul fares cannot full…: Travelers face substantial ticket price hikes because higher short-haul fares cannot fully absorb fuel cost increases.
  • Internal austerity measures under review include reducing crew rations and potentially in…: Internal austerity measures under review include reducing crew rations and potentially introducing a temporary pay freeze.
  • Airline executives plan to integrate artificial intelligence technologies to generate vit…: Airline executives plan to integrate artificial intelligence technologies to generate vital operational efficiencies during the downturn.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary told CNBC Monday that European airfares are set to rise "significantly," growing by as much as 20% next year as fuel hedges expire.

The budget air carrier's profit fell 15% to 2.15 billion euros ($2.3 billion) in the first fiscal half of the year, as the price of its 20% unhedged jet fuel doubled.

"So we're facing 2027 where we have much higher oil prices... I think they're going to get passed on in significantly higher airfares," O'Leary told CNBC's Steve Sedgwick on Monday.

"There's still no resolution in the Middle East. Jet oil today is $170 a barrel. I mean, this is a very significant cost cliff we're all facing next year. I believe you're going to see airfares rise next year across Europe by 10%, maybe even 20%," O'Leary added.

RyanAir said it doesn't expect an increase in short haul airfares to fully offset an estimated 2-billion-euro increase in fuel charges. It is therefore launching a cost review, which will include lowering crew rations, a potential temporary pay freeze and the use of AI…

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