Finance1 min read

Rupee hits two-week low on 'sticky' dollar bids, modest intervention cushions

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The Indian rupee slipped 0.15% to 95.3675 per dollar as consistent corporate dollar buying outweighed broader market stability. This decline fully erased advances toward a one-month high of 94.32 that had been spurred by regulatory steps and massive initial public offering inflows. The Reserve Bank of India stepped in with modest market measures to contain losses, yet local sentiment remained negative enough to bypass the boost other Asian peers enjoyed following the Federal Reserve's rate pause.

Key points

  • Mild interventions by the Reserve Bank of India are actively curbing steeper market depre…: Mild interventions by the Reserve Bank of India are actively curbing steeper market depreciations.
  • Local bearish sentiment caused the currency to diverge from regional peers that gained af…: Local bearish sentiment caused the currency to diverge from regional peers that gained after the Federal Reserve held rates steady.
  • Emkay Global analysts caution that central bank spot measures create stability without ad…: Emkay Global analysts caution that central bank spot measures create stability without addressing underlying market confidence.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Mild interventions by the Reserve Bank of India, though, helped contain the currency's losses, traders said. The rupee was last at 95.3675 per dollar, down 0.15% from its close at 95.22 in the previous session.

Though the rupee had climbed to an over one-month peak of 94.32 earlier in the month on the back of a spate of regulatory measures and chunky inflows related to a large domestic IPO, its gains have since started to fade.

"Buying is quite sticky and it doesn't seem that will change soon," a trader at a foreign bank said, pointing to heightened dollar appetite from clients across diverse sectors like electronics manufacturers and jewellers.

In the non-deliverable forward market as well, inclination to "sell the dollar-rupee pair is quite weak and it's only intervention that pushes the pair down," a trader at a Singapore-based hedge fund said.

The persistent bearish bias on the rupee has left it reliant on frequent interventions by the Reserve Bank of India to prevent sharp moves while also making it somewhat disjointed from global cues.

On Thursday, for instance,…

Finance