Climate1 min read

‘Risk multiplier’: super El Niño looms over Cop31 as climate pattern fuels global disasters

By · Via The Guardian Environment · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Delegates negotiating climate finance in Turkey are confronting immense pressure as vulnerable nations face catastrophic weather disasters spanning from Southeast Asia to the Americas. The peak of this unprecedented event threatens to make the coming year the hottest on record, worsening humanitarian destabilization in regions already facing acute resource shortages. Mounting losses have exposed a vast divide between urgent adaptation needs and the actual delivery of financial support from wealthy countries. Specifically, developing countries require an estimated $305 billion annually by 2035 to successfully adapt to worsening climate impacts.

Key points

  • Developing countries face an estimated $305 billion annual climate adaptation funding req…: Developing countries face an estimated $305 billion annual climate adaptation funding requirement by 2035.
  • Up to 3 million people could face displacement across Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, and Ug…: Up to 3 million people could face displacement across Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, and Uganda.
  • Despite commitments by wealthy nations to triple adaptation finance, only a fraction of n…: Despite commitments by wealthy nations to triple adaptation finance, only a fraction of necessary funds reaches frontline communities.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

If the galloping pace of the climate crisis isn’t enough to spur countries to act at UN climate talks under way in Turkey, there is another major threat heightening its havoc: the strongest El Niño event in at least 1,000 years.

The “jaw-dropping” El Niño, a naturally recurring phenomenon where the eastern Pacific heats up every few years with temporary but global implications, has provided added urgency to wrangling at the Cop31 summit over climate funding for vulnerable countries that are having to scramble to respond.

Already, warping global weather patterns have fuelled huge wildfires and crop failures in Indonesia, coastal inundation in the US, severe drought in Sudan and severe flooding in countries including Ecuador and Somalia. “We are supercharging our weather and El Niño will be a risk multiplier,” said Celeste Saulo, secretary-general of the World Meteorological Organization.

Drought has ravaged the Marshall Islands, a small Pacific atoll country which relies heavily on rainfall for its water. “It’s a compounding crisis, we are trying to prepare but the drought has already hit and it’s on top of having…

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