Politics1 min read

Republican fortunes go south as script flips

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Democrats surpassed the four-seat threshold needed for a Senate majority by flipping seven seats, including victories in Texas, Kansas, Iowa, and South Carolina. The election also established key historic firsts, such as the election of the nation's first Black woman governor and first Muslim U.S. senator. Although Donald Trump actively campaigned for candidates on his signature policy platform, he claimed post-election that he would have won a landslide had he personally appeared on the ballot.

Key points

  • Widespread voter dissatisfaction regarding a Middle East war helped propel Democrats to c…: Widespread voter dissatisfaction regarding a Middle East war helped propel Democrats to control of both congressional chambers.
  • The defeat of high-profile candidates in conservative bastions is prompting urgent questi…: The defeat of high-profile candidates in conservative bastions is prompting urgent questions about the future viability of the MAGA movement.
  • Donald Trump proposed ending roughly $4 billion in annual aid to Israel while conditionin…: Donald Trump proposed ending roughly $4 billion in annual aid to Israel while conditioning future arms sales on congressional input.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Deja vu, 2006? Then, an unpopular war in Iraq helped Democrats wrest both houses of Congress from George W Bush. Twenty years later, another Republican president has lost both houses amid another unpopular Middle Eastern war. But even Democrats who dreamed of a blue wave might have laughed if you had told them where it would crest. Texas? Yes, Texas. Kansas? The last time Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate, Franklin Roosevelt was winning his first presidential election.

Democrats needed a net gain of four Senate seats. They flipped Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and South Carolina. In Maine, an early Democratic lead turned into a projected victory over Susan Collins, the Republican incumbent. That makes seven projected pickups, with Alaska still uncalled in the early tally. The rout ran from the Midwest to the South. Trump had carried South Carolina by nearly 18 points two years ago. His handpicked Senate candidate lost it.

The South also elected two Black governors, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia and Republican Byron Donalds in Florida. Bottoms becomes the first Black…

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