Artificial Intelligence1 min read

Please stop asking me when the AI bubble will pop

By · Via The Verge · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Tech giants are issuing massive bond volumes to support ongoing buildouts, exemplified by Meta attracting $58 billion in orders and Microsoft issuing its first bonds in ten years. Despite this intense appetite, investment leaders warn that unforeseen events like interest rate increases or geopolitical turmoil could trigger severe market fallout. PIMCO has already begun selling a portion of its AI-related debt after previously reaping billions in paper gains. Apollo Global Management's Jim Zelter further highlighted persistent uncertainty surrounding future AI economics and pricing models.

Key points

  • The projected $2 trillion AI financing need over five years represents a massive share of…: The projected $2 trillion AI financing need over five years represents a massive share of the broader bond market.
  • Institutional lenders warn that external macroeconomic shocks such as interest rate hikes…: Institutional lenders warn that external macroeconomic shocks such as interest rate hikes could cause the market to break.
  • Financial leaders face growing uncertainty over how future pricing models and commercial…: Financial leaders face growing uncertainty over how future pricing models and commercial returns for artificial intelligence will develop.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

People, including on this staff, keep asking me with varying degrees of excitement or trepidation when the AI bubble will burst. I’ll tell you what I tell them: If I knew that, I would make a life-changing bet on the market, levered up as far as I could, and then, after I made my money, go retire on a beach somewhere. Maybe run a cat sanctuary, who knows.

Please stop asking me when the AI bubble will pop

I’m getting some real mixed messages here, boys!

I’m getting some real mixed messages here, boys!

What I can tell you is that I read with interest a story in Bloomberg this morning: “Wall Street CEOs, Big Money Managers Divided Over AI Risks.” The story itself is a roundup of stuff said at the 2026 Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit in Hong Kong. Here’s what caught my attention: The CEO of Pacific Investment Management Co. — that’s PIMCO, the legendary bond firm — told listeners that there’s going to be a downturn in the AI market “and then things are going to…

Artificial Intelligence