Finance1 min read

Oil Price Today (October 30): Crude oil jumps to $118 as Trump weighs fresh attacks after midterm. What are experts saying?

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The price rally comes alongside multiple security incidents across the Middle East, including a projectile hitting an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Houthi forces have further threatened regional output by launching strikes against Saudi Arabia's 550,000-barrel-per-day Ras Tanura refinery, Aden airport, and the kingdom's eastern region. Analysts remain cautious about the trajectory of the market, with JPMorgan highlighting that key economic thresholds have been breached without a clear path toward resolution seven months into the conflict.

Key points

  • Heightened speculation regarding potential post-midterm U.S. military strikes on Iran con…: Heightened speculation regarding potential post-midterm U.S. military strikes on Iran continues to inject volatility into crude markets.
  • Persistent security threats to infrastructure and maritime shipping routes across the Mid…: Persistent security threats to infrastructure and maritime shipping routes across the Middle East threaten to derail the recovery of critical oil flows.
  • Goldman Sachs estimated that benchmark crude prices could advance to $120 a barrel if reg…: Goldman Sachs estimated that benchmark crude prices could advance to $120 a barrel if regional maritime attacks intensify, or fall to $80 if exports normalize.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Crude oil price on October 30

Brent crude rose to $118 or 2.5% a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 2.30% to $104 a barrel. Brent crude has risen 12% in October, reaching a six-month high. Although oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have recovered, low inventories and tight supplies of refined products have continued to support prices.Read more: Stocks in news: RIL, Jio, Trent, Suzlon Energy, IndiGo, Vedanta Power and RVNL

The gains followed a Wall Street Journal report that a senior US military commander had briefed US President Donald Trump on potential military options on Thursday. Trump has repeatedly indicated that he could resume airstrikes on Tehran after next week's midterm elections.

Security risks in the Strait of Hormuz came back into focus after an unidentified projectile hit a tanker on Thursday as it completed its outbound passage through the waterway, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO). The incident highlighted the continuing threat to shipping, despite producers having resumed cargo movements through the strait.

Attacks on the rise

Market uncertainty has also been…

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