Finance1 min read

Oil drops almost 4% on hopes of progress in talks on ending US-Iran war

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In short

Recent discussions between Iranian and Qatari officials helped ease concerns regarding ongoing shipping disruptions across crucial Middle East waterways. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi stated that consultations are progressing, though Tehran maintains preparedness for both defense and diplomacy. Meanwhile, data from two ship-tracking firms revealed that Saudi Arabia managed to increase its crude exports in October compared to September despite recent regional attacks.

Key points

  • Diplomatic discussions are progressing, but Iranian officials maintain they are fully pre…: Diplomatic discussions are progressing, but Iranian officials maintain they are fully prepared for either military defense or diplomacy.
  • Global fuel stockpiles remain under severe pressure despite October increases in Saudi Ar…: Global fuel stockpiles remain under severe pressure despite October increases in Saudi Arabian crude export volumes.
  • Persistent regional production shortfalls could push Brent crude prices to $140 a barrel…: Persistent regional production shortfalls could push Brent crude prices to $140 a barrel by 2027, according to Goldman Sachs.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

LONDON, Nov 2 : Oil fell nearly 4 per cent on Monday as talks between Iranian and Qatari officials on a deal to end the US-Israeli war on Iran raised hopes that Middle East supply disruptions could ease.

Iranian negotiators left Doha talks on Sunday, but not due to difficulties in negotiations, an official briefed on the meeting told Reuters on Monday.

"The new month brought with it renewed hopes of a breakthrough in the Iranian stalemate," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Brent crude futures fell $4.20, or 3.7 per cent, to $109.23 a barrel by 0900 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude traded at $100.14, down $3.98, or 3.8 per cent.

Brent ended October at its highest in six months amid concerns that the US-Iran conflict could escalate again after Tuesday's US midterm elections.

"Lingering hopes of some form of diplomatic progress, combined with the absence of any meaningful military escalation over the weekend, have taken some of the immediate heat out of prices for now," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

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