Finance1 min read

Oil and data centre stocks sink after US midterms

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Global markets adjusted quickly after the midterms as Democratic gains led investors to bet on a reduced likelihood of military escalation with Iran under President Trump. This easing of geopolitical fears drove Brent crude down nearly 9% overnight, which subsequently helped depress Treasury yields and lift the S&P 500 by 1.6%. Conversely, data centre shares slumped after Democratic candidates who supported construction moratoriums won key races in Texas and Georgia. This regulatory uncertainty weighed heavily on Asian technology exporters, triggering a 4% decline in South Korea's KOSPI index.

Key points

  • Democratic political victories are expected to discourage President Trump from escalating…: Democratic political victories are expected to discourage President Trump from escalating tensions with Iran, sharply lowering oil prices.
  • Key election wins in Texas and Georgia have amplified regulatory threats and moratorium f…: Key election wins in Texas and Georgia have amplified regulatory threats and moratorium fears for data centre development.
  • Plummeting energy costs have pressured the United States dollar while providing a tempora…: Plummeting energy costs have pressured the United States dollar while providing a temporary boost to solar supply chain shares.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Brent crude futures dived nearly 9% overnight, falling below $100 a barrel. Brent has dropped by about 20% so far this week. If sustained through to Friday's close, it would make for the largest weekly drop in oil prices since a week in April 2020 when US crude briefly fell into negative territory.

Tumbling energy prices encouraged a rally in bonds, which lowered yields, pulled the dollar to a one-month low of $1.1273 per euro, and helped stocks. [.N]

Broad stock indexes climbed on the clear outcome, with the S&P 500 closing 1.6% higher and European shares notching a two-month high.

Solar supply chain stocks jumped the most, in anticipation of Democrats boosting support for renewables, while shares in data centre companies and their equipment suppliers across Asia fell on expectations of tougher regulation.

South Korea's chipmaker-heavy KOSPI slid 4% and in morning trade was not far from hitting a seven-month low. Taiwan's benchmark index fell 1.8%. Tech equipment suppliers dragged on the Nikkei, which fell 0.5%.

Democratic data-centre opponents who campaigned, in part, on moratoriums on data centre construction…

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