Nine things on US voters' minds ahead of midterm elections, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll - Reuters

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• It’s finally Election Day — and prediction markets may show ‘too much confidence in a good night for Democrats’

  Political forecasting platforms risk misjudging voter sentiment as voters head to the polls across the country. An analyst cautioned that current betting trends appear to exhibit unjustified certainty regarding potential Democratic victories. Consequently, observers are warned that relying strictly on these trading indicators could produce an inaccurate picture of the race.

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• Russia confirms new Ukraine peace talks as Melania Trump prepares to host ceasefire meeting

  Negotiators from Washington, Moscow, and Kyiv are preparing for high-stakes diplomatic summits aimed at de-escalating the war and addressing humanitarian conditions. While the White House pursues direct mediation and localized truces, mounting friction between the United States and Ukraine threatens to complicate post-war security arrangements and broader peace discussions.

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• Iran commander sets out five conditions for regional security

  Tehran's sweeping framework requires broad concessions from Washington, including reparations and complete sanctions relief, as intermediaries work to salvage diplomatic channels. Mediators warn that ongoing combat actions, including missile and drone skirmishes, risk collapsing the nascent peace talks entirely. The terms also establish a contentious demand for formal recognition of Iranian naval control over key shipping routes.

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