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Nifty50 faces worst year in a decade: Will November help Dalal Street to bounce back?

By · Via Times of India · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The benchmark index faces its steepest annual decline in over ten years after dropping approximately 13% year-to-date, with mid-cap and small-cap stocks retreating 4% in October alone. While oversold conditions offer potential technical upside toward the 23,250 to 23,500 range, analysts emphasize that clearing 23,480 is critical for a sustained rally. Market participants are finding some stability as foreign institutional investors reduce their derivative short positions. Meanwhile, domestic information technology shares provided crucial support by jumping 16.3% during the October series.

Key points

  • The Nifty50 index is hovering in oversold relative strength territory, which creates tech…: The Nifty50 index is hovering in oversold relative strength territory, which creates technical room for a November rebound.
  • A decisive breakout above the 23,480 level is required to confirm that any technical boun…: A decisive breakout above the 23,480 level is required to confirm that any technical bounce can evolve into a sustained rally.
  • High crude oil costs and competition from international artificial intelligence investmen…: High crude oil costs and competition from international artificial intelligence investments remain significant obstacles for Indian equities.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

NEW DELHI: October wasn't particularly kind to Dalal Street, but November could give Indian equities a chance to bounce back.

NSE Nifty50's slide into oversold territory has raised hopes of a recovery, though the bulls may still have some hurdles to cross.

Elevated crude oil prices and global investors' continued appetite for AI-linked markets could keep the rally in check, brokerages IIFL Capital and Nuvama have said.

So far this year, Nifty50 has already lost around 13%, putting it on track for what could be its worst annual performance in more than a decade. While the index briefly entered oversold territory in October, brokerages believe this could open the door to a short-term technical recovery rather than signal a definite end to the ongoing decline.

The October derivatives series, which ended on Tuesday, saw the benchmark index finish almost unchanged. The broader market, however, remained under pressure, with mid-cap and small-cap indices declining around 4% each.

How far can Nifty recover in November?

The possibility of a rebound remains, but brokerages have flagged key levels that the index would need…

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