Politics1 min read

Moscow summit tests Russia’s waning grip on former Soviet allies

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The Collective Security Treaty Organization faces severe internal strain as member states increasingly pursue independent foreign and security policies. Armenia has boycotted the bloc since February 2024, citing the failure of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan to provide military aid during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Yerevan is now pursuing European Union membership despite thousands of Russian troops and two military bases remaining on Armenian territory. Meanwhile, regional powers are diversifying ties through alternative blocs like the Turkey-led Organization of Turkic States.

Key points

  • Moscow's regional authority has been substantially diminished by military difficulties in…: Moscow's regional authority has been substantially diminished by military difficulties in Ukraine and the weight of Western sanctions.
  • Former Soviet partners are actively diversifying their strategic partnerships by turning…: Former Soviet partners are actively diversifying their strategic partnerships by turning toward Western institutions and the Organization of Turkic States.
  • Armenia's formal pursuit of European Union membership represents a major geopolitical piv…: Armenia's formal pursuit of European Union membership represents a major geopolitical pivot away from its historical security reliance on Russia.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

The CSTO’s influence is declining as Armenia turns away, while former Soviet allies increasingly pursue independent security partnerships.

The Kremlin’s tense relationship with Armenia will be under the spotlight at a security summit in Moscow.

President Vladimir Putin will chair a session of the Collective Security Council of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the Russia-dominated post-Soviet military bloc, on Wednesday.

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But since February 2024, Armenia’s participation in the bloc has been frozen.

While the membership technically exists, Armenia does not participate in the bloc’s activities, having effectively boycotted it after it lost a war against Azerbaijan. Yerevan blamed the group for failing to offer meaningful support during the conflict.

Armenia “de facto doesn’t participate in…

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