Finance1 min read

Kotak Bank shares gain 30% since April as earnings outlook brightens

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The bank's equity rally follows a prolonged period of flat performance from 2021 to 2024, which turned around with a 25% surge in 2025 and continued gains into 2026. Brokerages report that advance and deposit expansions are strengthening alongside stable core margins and dropping credit expenses. Most recently, the stock advanced 3.86% to close at ₹457 on the BSE after touching an intraday peak of ₹460. Furthermore, long-range forecasts project robust returns that position the bank just behind ICICI Bank among major peers.

Key points

  • Brokerage analysts attribute the financial turnaround to rising deposit growth, steady co…: Brokerage analysts attribute the financial turnaround to rising deposit growth, steady core margins, and falling credit costs.
  • Projected return on equity between 12% and 14% would place the lender second only to ICIC…: Projected return on equity between 12% and 14% would place the lender second only to ICICI Bank among large private peers.
  • Business momentum has continued to strengthen into 2026, with the bank recording an addit…: Business momentum has continued to strengthen into 2026, with the bank recording an additional rise of roughly 7% year-to-date.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

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The shares closed at ₹457 on the BSE, up 3.86% from the previous close, after touching an intraday high of ₹460 a share. Kotak underperformed between 2021 and 2024, delivering largely flat returns, before gaining 25% in 2025. The stock is up around 7% so far in 2026.

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Axis Securities expects Kotak Mahindra Bank to deliver a return on assets of 2.1-2.2% and a return on equity of 12-14% over FY27-29. These metrics would rank second among large private sector banks, after ICICI Bank, the brokerage said. Siddharth Rajpurohit, lead analyst for banking and non-lending financials at Systematix Institutional Equities, attributed the bank's performance to a recovery in growth, easing credit costs and stable core margins.

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"Growth is back for the bank. Growth in advances and deposits has picked up, while credit costs are coming down significantly," he said.

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