Politics1 min read

Israel faces weeks of coalition haggling as Netanyahu’s party claims election 'stolen'

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Neither the incumbent right-wing alliance nor the opposition secured the 61 Knesset seats required to comfortably form a government, leaving both sides without an obvious path forward. Following the drop in his coalition's seat count, the prime minister's party alleged foreign interference, prompting the Central Elections Committee chair to refer funding claims to the Shin Bet. Meanwhile, financial instability deepened as Tel Aviv's benchmark stock index fell 4.1% over the week amid the uncertainty. President Isaac Herzog will formally consult party leaders next week before assigning a 28-day coalition mandate.

Key points

  • President Isaac Herzog will begin consultations next week before granting a candidate an…: President Isaac Herzog will begin consultations next week before granting a candidate an initial 28-day window to form a coalition.
  • Central Elections Committee chair Noam Sohlberg requested a Shin Bet inquiry into allegat…: Central Elections Committee chair Noam Sohlberg requested a Shin Bet inquiry into allegations of improper foreign funding despite unverified evidence.
  • Benjamin Netanyahu could remain in power as caretaker prime minister if negotiations coll…: Benjamin Netanyahu could remain in power as caretaker prime minister if negotiations collapse and trigger another round of national elections.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Israel’s final election count left both Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc and the opposition led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot short of the 61 seats needed to form a government.

The outcome sets up weeks of coalition bargaining and political uncertainty, with the opposition alliance facing an uphill battle to assemble a majority government in the 120-seat Knesset.

Netanyahu’s Likud party and its hard-right allies won 53 seats in the Knesset, according to the Central Elections Committee, short of the 61 needed for a majority and down from 64 seats in the 2022 election.

The main opposition bloc, led by Eisenkot, won 48 seats, falling short of the 61 needed for a majority.

Eisenkot now faces a difficult coalition path. Most parties in his bloc have rejected relying on the Arab-led parties, while Eisenkot has said neither meets his conditions for a partnership. The Joint List and Ra’am won a combined 19 seats, an all-time high for Arab-led parties.

Netanyahu's party has intensified claims that the Arab-led parties "stole" the election, amplifying an allegation that spread after exit…

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