Finance1 min read

Indian stocks set for pullback after sharp rally on oil slide, foreign inflows

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In short

The expected decline on Friday follows a six-session rally that saw the Nifty 50 and Sensex record their strongest single-day performance in seven months. Deep losses in international technology hubs, spurred by a 5.5% drop in the Nasdaq, are prompting investors to lock in recent domestic gains. Even so, the downside is likely to be cushioned by Brent crude falling below $100 per barrel and India's minimal exposure to the global AI hardware sector. Furthermore, domestic resilience remains supported by strong foreign institutional purchases that recently reached their highest single-day level in nearly six years.

Key points

  • Global equity headwinds and tech-driven market routs are expected to interrupt India's si…: Global equity headwinds and tech-driven market routs are expected to interrupt India's six-session winning streak on Friday.
  • Domestic losses may be limited due to falling Brent crude oil prices and insulated exposu…: Domestic losses may be limited due to falling Brent crude oil prices and insulated exposure to global artificial intelligence supply chains.
  • Analysts anticipate a volatile trading session characterized by consolidation and profit-…: Analysts anticipate a volatile trading session characterized by consolidation and profit-booking following seven-month record gains for domestic benchmarks.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Nov 6 (Reuters) - Indian shares are expected to break their winning run on Friday as a rout in global markets triggered a cautious undertone for investors as they assessed the impact of the US Democratic win on AI regulations and foreign policy.

Both the Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex have gained for six sessions in a row, culminating in their best session in seven months on Thursday, aided by lower oil prices and strong foreign fund inflows.

Foreign institutional investors bought stocks worth about 150 billion rupees ($1.6 billion), their biggest single-day net purchase in nearly six years, as investors rotated out of AI-linked trades globally.

GIFT Nifty futures were at 24,460 as of 7:49 a.m. IST, indicating a weaker start for the benchmark Nifty 50, which closed at 24,536.6 on Thursday.

"The indicated decline is relatively contained compared with the severe global selloff, suggesting that lower crude and India's limited direct exposure to the AI-hardware trade are providing some insulation," said Hariselvan Radhakrishnan, founder and CEO of HST Wealth.

Domestic markets are likely to face a volatile…

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