Finance1 min read

Indian shares likely to consolidate after foreign inflow-driven rally

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Benchmark indices reached over eight-month highs following substantial monthly gains, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex posting single-month surges near 10%. Strong foreign portfolio allocations totaling billions of dollars provided strong support alongside softening crude benchmarks that fell past one percent on geopolitical developments. Even with this positive momentum, a cautious tone is prevailing as U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.99% act as a headwind. Today's session also highlights major corporate shifts, including a major institutional share sale by Bajaj Finance at 992.25 rupees per share.

Key points

  • Strong foreign portfolio inflows helped the Nifty 50 and Sensex surge by 9.6% and 10% res…: Strong foreign portfolio inflows helped the Nifty 50 and Sensex surge by 9.6% and 10% respectively throughout November.
  • Elevated U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.99% threaten to limit immediate gains for th…: Elevated U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.99% threaten to limit immediate gains for the broader equity market.
  • Softening Brent crude prices dropped past 1% to $91.8 per barrel amid peace talk developm…: Softening Brent crude prices dropped past 1% to $91.8 per barrel amid peace talk developments in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Indian shares are expected to open little changed on Thursday, as benchmark indexes look to consolidate after a sharp rally driven by sustained foreign fund inflows, lower crude oil prices and a cooling global AI trade.

GIFT Nifty futures were at 25,270 as of 8:00 a.m. IST, indicating a muted start for the benchmark Nifty 50, which ended at a more-than-eight-month closing high of 25,255.05 on Wednesday.

Foreign portfolio investors bought 125.63 billion rupees ($1.34 billion) worth of Indian shares on Wednesday, provisional data showed. They have net bought $6.43 billion of shares in November, already their biggest monthly purchase since September 2024.

The robust inflows have pushed the Nifty 50 and Sensex indexes up 9.6% and 10%, respectively, so far in November.

The rally marks a reversal for Indian equities, which have lagged their emerging-market peers over the past two years due to elevated oil prices and limited exposure to the global AI-driven market rally.

Brent crude futures fell more than 1% to $91.8 per barrel on hopes for progress in peace talks over the Middle East and the…

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