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India would have grown 8% but for external shocks: RBI

By · Via Times of India · Published by Everything Blog

In short

India's growth forecast is 8%, but external shocks have slowed progress: RBI deputy governor Poonam Gupta highlights the need for improvements in infrastructure, public services, manufacturing, and governance to strengthen resilience. Gupta calls for a 1 percentage point increase in growth rates and suggests a 50 basis point boost from a more favourable global environment could add another 0.5 percentage points to growth.

Key points

  • Improvements in infrastructure, public services, manufacturing, and governance are crucia…: Improvements in infrastructure, public services, manufacturing, and governance are crucial.
  • A 1 percentage point increase in growth rates is needed.: A 1 percentage point increase in growth rates is needed.
  • A 50 basis point boost from a more favourable global environment could add another 0.5 pe…: A 50 basis point boost from a more favourable global environment could add another 0.5 percentage points to growth.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

MUMBAI: India would already have been an 8% growth economy if it had not been grappling with an exceptionally difficult global environment,

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) deputy governor Poonam Gupta said, arguing that improvements in digital infrastructure, public services, manufacturing and governance have strengthened the economy's capacity to withstand external shocks.

"We would have already been a 8% growth economy but for the external shocks," Gupta said during a fireside chat at a BFSI event organised by Business Standard. The economy's resilience reflects years of work on strengthening systems, advancing digitalisation, improving transparency in public services and making state govts important partners in growth, she said.

India's challenge now is to sustain that progress and raise its growth rate from around 7% to 8% or more in an environment marked by global uncertainties.

External environment itself could provide a significant boost if conditions improve. "Now suppose this global environment becomes better, if not right away, in the next one year, another 50 basis points to one percentage point growth will come just from them," she said, referring to the potential contribution of a more favourable global environment.

Original source: timesofindia.indiatimes.com

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