Politics1 min read

How elections worldwide are testing Trump’s influence abroad

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Recent international election cycles saw defeats for prominent Trump-aligned figures, including Brazil's Flávio Bolsonaro, Serbia's Aleksandar Vucic, and Hungary's Viktor Orban. Experts observe that local politicians routinely distance themselves from U.S. leaders when foreign controversies, such as rising energy costs and conflict with Iran, depress poll numbers. Meanwhile, broader right-wing movements continue to expand independently, demonstrated by the Alternative for Germany securing 20.8% of the vote to become the country's primary opposition party.

Key points

  • Direct endorsements from American leaders carry little positive weight with foreign elect…: Direct endorsements from American leaders carry little positive weight with foreign electorates focused on domestic priorities.
  • International alliances frequently deteriorate when practical national interests clash, a…: International alliances frequently deteriorate when practical national interests clash, as seen in recent defense disputes between the United States and Italy.
  • Independent right-wing political movements continue to achieve electoral success abroad e…: Independent right-wing political movements continue to achieve electoral success abroad even as direct allies of Trump face setbacks.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

In August, President Donald Trump claimed that 97% of Republican candidates he backed had won their primary races.

And it's true that Trump has shown an ability to influence races particularly in Republican primaries, picking off politicians he didn't like such as Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky.

But while he hasn't shied away from expressing his opinions on foreign leaders, his influence over other countries' elections is proving less strong.

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won reelection on Sunday, defeating Trump-aligned Flávio Bolsonaro, whose father Jair had also been a Trump ally.

Also last weekend, a student-led movement in Serbia defeated the ruling party of Aleksandar Vucic, a populist leader who had cultivated ties with Trump and his circle. Vucic had served as Serbia's president from 2017, and as prime minister from 2014 to 2017.

During his concession speech, Vucic said that the loss was due to a "legitimization of a revolution carried out by the people with direct support from various European countries and the American deep state, the one that opposes President…

Politics