Finance1 min read

HDFC Bank shares witness strong buying, rise 7% in 1 month. Can new CEO, improving fundamentals drive next leg of rally?

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The private lender is seeing a revival in market sentiment, though it still faces challenges from leadership turnover following the resignation of key credit executives. Sunny Agrawal of SBI Securities notes that retail-led credit expansion and the winding down of legacy HDFC borrowings should aid near-term performance. Technically, the stock has moved out of a falling trendline after bouncing from the ₹680–685 support zone. Sustaining current momentum will depend on clearing resistance levels between ₹755 and ₹800.

Key points

  • Retail segment performance and lower funding costs from expiring legacy debt are expected…: Retail segment performance and lower funding costs from expiring legacy debt are expected to drive healthy credit growth.
  • Normalizing the credit-deposit ratio and maintaining asset quality remain critical fundam…: Normalizing the credit-deposit ratio and maintaining asset quality remain critical fundamental priorities following the merger.
  • Crucial downside support between ₹710 and ₹741 must hold for the bank to sustain its curr…: Crucial downside support between ₹710 and ₹741 must hold for the bank to sustain its current technical recovery.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

HDFC Bank shares have gained 10.21% over the past week and 7.09% over the past month, signalling a pickup in buying interest. The stock has risen 8.89% over the past two weeks, but remains down 23.80% year-to-date and 23.36% over the past year, indicating that the recent recovery has yet to reverse its broader underperformance.

Investors are now assessing whether the rally can sustain, with the new CEO’s strategy and improving fundamentals emerging as key triggers.

The focus remains on loan and deposit growth, net interest margins, asset quality and the normalisation of the credit-deposit ratio following the HDFC merger. Can the leadership transition and a recovery in operating performance support a sustained rerating of HDFC Bank shares? Here is what analysts and technical experts expect.

Sunny Agrawal, Head of Fundamental Research at SBI Securities, said that with the uncertainty surrounding the bank's top-level management now addressed, the strategic roadmap of its new Managing Director and CEO will be a key monitorable.

He noted that HDFC Bank will also need to appoint a new Deputy Managing Director (DMD) and Head…

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