Finance1 min read

Gold, silver prices ahead of wedding season: Down over 4% this week - Investors guide before US Fed Dec meeting

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Hotter-than-expected October U.S. inflation data pushed expectations of a December Fed interest rate hike to nearly 90%, weighing heavily on non-yielding assets. Multi Commodity Exchange gold and silver contracts subsequently registered steep weekly drops of roughly 4.6% and nearly 5%, respectively. Although bargain buying and a weaker rupee helped mitigate local losses, analysts warn that stiff technical resistance will likely constrain sharp short-term rebounds.

Key points

  • Strong U.S. producer and consumer inflation prints pushed expectations of a December Fede…: Strong U.S. producer and consumer inflation prints pushed expectations of a December Federal Reserve interest rate hike to almost 90%.
  • Domestic price drops ahead of the wedding season were partially cushioned by a weaker Ind…: Domestic price drops ahead of the wedding season were partially cushioned by a weaker Indian rupee.
  • Analysts expect central bank purchasing and retail wedding demand to provide crucial down…: Analysts expect central bank purchasing and retail wedding demand to provide crucial downside support near key technical levels.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Gold and silver prices have taken a sharp knock, offering some relief to buyers ahead of India's wedding season. However, the recent correction in precious metals has also raised concerns about whether the sell-off has further room to run, particularly as hotter-than-expected US inflation strengthens expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for December delivery ended Friday higher by ₹525, or 0.39%, at ₹1,36,750 per 10 grams. Silver contracts also recovered, gaining ₹234, or 0.13%, to ₹1,76,543 per kg.

Despite Friday's recovery, both metals remained sharply lower for the week. MCX gold declined around 4.6%, while silver fell nearly 5%, reflecting pressure from a stronger US dollar, rising bond yields and concerns over the US interest-rate outlook.

Gold witnessed its steepest fall on Thursday, when prices dropped nearly 3% to a year-to-date low and their weakest level in more than a year. Bargain buying helped the yellow metal recover some losses in the following session. Silver tracked gold's decline but experienced sharper price swings, reflecting its higher volatility.

The sell-off followed the…

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