Finance1 min read

Gold rises after biggest daily gain since August, with US payrolls in focus

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

Bullion extended its momentum as a retreating dollar made the asset cheaper for overseas purchasers, continuing a strong upward trend established earlier in the week. Market participants are now awaiting official nonfarm payrolls figures after private employment data indicated persistent hiring across the private sector. Persistently elevated inflation across Europe is also reinforcing expectations that other major central banks will raise borrowing costs. These global monetary tightening trends continue to counter some of the safe-haven support generated by ongoing Middle Eastern tensions.

Key points

  • A weaker dollar following U.S. midterm results has increased foreign purchasing interest…: A weaker dollar following U.S. midterm results has increased foreign purchasing interest in bullion assets.
  • Friday's nonfarm payrolls report will serve as a crucial metric for anticipating future F…: Friday's nonfarm payrolls report will serve as a crucial metric for anticipating future Federal Reserve policy.
  • Expectations of interest rate hikes from European central banks continue to exert pressur…: Expectations of interest rate hikes from European central banks continue to exert pressure on non-yielding metals.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

Fundamentals

Spot gold was up 0.6% at $4,082.76 per ounce by 0036 GMT, after climbing about 3.4% on Monday. US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.5% to $4,092.90.The dollar retreated on Wednesday but was off its earlier lows after a sweeping victory by Democrats in the US midterm elections removed a source of uncertainty for the market while investors gauged the potential for regulatory changes.

A weaker dollar makes greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies. * US private payrolls growth increased further in October, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Wednesday.

Market participants now await the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday to further gauge the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.

On the geopolitical front, Washington's hostility towards Tehran will not change through partisan shifts or any concessions to the US, and those who believe otherwise are "greatly mistaken", Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said on Wednesday.

Traders currently see an 83% chance that the Fed will raise rates in December, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding…

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