Finance1 min read

Gold Edges Up, Still On Track for Worst Weekly Slump Since June

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In short

Bullion hovered below $3,900 an ounce on Friday, staging a modest recovery that was largely supported by reserve managers buying after prices breached the $4,000 level earlier in the week. The broader sell-off was triggered by persistent U.S. consumer price inflation and hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric, which drove short-term Treasury yields up by over 12 basis points on Thursday. Looking ahead, traders are pricing in a quarter-point rate increase next month, with growing expectations that central bank tightening could continue past December.

Key points

  • Growing expectations for prolonged Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to suppre…: Growing expectations for prolonged Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to suppress demand for non-yielding assets.
  • Reserve managers provided temporary price support by purchasing bullion following its dro…: Reserve managers provided temporary price support by purchasing bullion following its drop beneath the key $4,000 threshold.
  • Financial markets are actively pricing in a quarter-point central bank rate hike next mon…: Financial markets are actively pricing in a quarter-point central bank rate hike next month with risks of further increases beyond December.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

(Bloomberg) -- Gold edged higher at the end of a downbeat week that saw the metal drop to its lowest point in more than a year.

Bullion rose slightly to trade just below $3,900 an ounce. Prices briefly hit a 13-month low on Thursday as investors ramped up bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. Yields on some Treasuries surged by more than 12 basis points in the previous session, with the biggest increases seen in short-term securities that are more sensitive to changes in central bank policy.

The decline “at the end of the New York session was concerning but correlated well with the rising bond yields,” said Rajeev De Mello, global macro portfolio manager at GAMA Asset Management SA. Friday’s gain “can only be explained by reserve managers stepping in,” after gold slipped below $4,000 an ounce earlier this week, he added.

Gold previously tested that key psychological level in July and again in late October, with demand from long-term investors such as central banks and large institutional buyers, along with Chinese households, supporting prices.

Still, bullion…

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