Climate1 min read

Forecasters are predicting a warmer and wetter winter. Here's how El Niño will affect your region.

By · Via NPR · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The projected climate pattern will manifest unevenly across the western United States, bringing warmer temperatures and elevated precipitation primarily to southern California. In contrast, the Pacific Northwest faces warm, dry conditions that threaten to severely diminish the mountain snowpack vital for replenishing reservoirs and streams. The state of California also faces heightened coastal flood dangers fueled by warm-water Kelvin waves traveling northward along the shoreline.

Key points

  • A Super El Niño combined with climate emissions could rank this event among the strongest…: A Super El Niño combined with climate emissions could rank this event among the strongest recorded in history.
  • Diminished freezing temperatures in the Pacific Northwest threaten snowpack levels, raisi…: Diminished freezing temperatures in the Pacific Northwest threaten snowpack levels, raising long-term concerns about parched soils and severe wildfires.
  • Heightened precipitation may bring relief to certain drought-stricken areas while elevati…: Heightened precipitation may bring relief to certain drought-stricken areas while elevating flood risks along both the West Coast and Eastern seaboard.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

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This winter is expected to be warmer and wetter, as national weather agencies point to a "Super El Niño" altering weather patterns across the globe.

The latest forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration estimates there will be warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the continental U.S., accompanied by above-average precipitation in several regions.

El Niño years are also associated with coastal flooding on the Eastern seaboard and the West Coast.

"It's a strong, if not historic El Niño going into this winter," Ken Graham, the director of NOAA's National Weather Service, said at the same October media briefing that Graham addressed.

Forecasters caution, however, that these predictions are just that, predictions. El Niño can shift the odds toward certain conditions but it does not ensure they will happen.

Still, the latest forecasts can help provide a roadmap for cities to prepare for potential impacts and allocate resources.

"These seasonal predictions are key to helping you prepare and giving you a heads up to assess all the risks and how to mitigate them," said Graham.

"Earlier and better decisions…

Climate