Politics1 min read

Faisal Islam: The 10-year plan will have to fill the gaps from this 'micro Budget'

By · Published by Everything Blog

In short

The emergency fiscal package introduced £65bn in additional borrowing across five years, which financial markets handled calmly as government interest costs fell. While avoiding radical structural reforms, the statement previewed devolution measures enabling regional mayors to retain portions of extra business rates and income tax revenues. It also established initial policies like a "cheaper power" plan and anticipated a Milburn Review welfare-to-work program. However, persistent headwinds such as potential 5% inflation and rising defense obligations mean major infrastructure decisions remain deferred.

Key points

  • Chancellor Healey's restrained interim measures were designed to preserve financial predi…: Chancellor Healey's restrained interim measures were designed to preserve financial predictability rather than unveil a full growth theory.
  • Local mayors have been offered new financial autonomy through retained shares of business…: Local mayors have been offered new financial autonomy through retained shares of business rates and income tax.
  • Crucial decisions on funding projects like the Liverpool to Manchester high-speed line de…: Crucial decisions on funding projects like the Liverpool to Manchester high-speed line depend entirely on the upcoming 10-year plan.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

- Published

It was not a mini Budget, but it was rather small. It might be called the "micro Budget".

Small does not necessarily mean bad, but it clearly falls short of radical action to create a promised new economic model.

A new "theory of growth" was not unveiled as promised by the prime minister Andy Burnham.

It was preamble, roadmap, consultation, perhaps the starter to the main course, which appears to be the PM's 10-year plan next month.

It went unsaid, but the clear stategic aim of Healey's statement was to be the "anti-mini Budget".

This "steady as she goes" predictable fiscal event set out to avoid the aftermath seen following Liz Truss's mini-budget, in which unexpected and unfunded tax cuts spooked the bond and currency markets.

The markets didn't even flicker on Healey's announcement of £65bn of extra borrowing over the next five years - government interest costs have actually fallen since Wednesday, against the backdrop of market turmoil due to the US-Iran war.

The core of the Budget was to get Downing Street through the impacts of…

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