Finance1 min read

ET Wealth Expo: Why market veteran S Naren thinks investors are getting gold, silver and asset allocation all wrong

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In short

Investors frequently engage in what Naren describes as anti-asset allocation by buying assets only after large run-ups occur. This trend was evident in January 2026, when combined inflows into gold and silver ETFs surpassed those directed into equity mutual funds. Silver consequently suffered a 27% correction following a massive 216% surge, mirroring similar performance-chasing seen in South Korea's Kospi index. Even so, Naren maintains a structurally constructive outlook on gold due to shifting central bank reserve practices.

Key points

  • Chasing past performance rather than accumulating corrected assets undermines the fundame…: Chasing past performance rather than accumulating corrected assets undermines the fundamental purpose of asset allocation.
  • Silver possesses high volatility akin to small-cap stocks and can experience sharp revers…: Silver possesses high volatility akin to small-cap stocks and can experience sharp reversals following major price runs.
  • Gold remains structurally viable over the long term because of ongoing shifts in central…: Gold remains structurally viable over the long term because of ongoing shifts in central bank reserve management.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

That is precisely the investment behaviour S Naren, Chief Investment Officer of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, cautioned against at the ET Wealth Expo in Mumbai. He has a rather unusual way of describing it. Borrowing a term from the debt market, Naren calls it 'anti-asset allocation'.

In the bond market, AAA is the highest credit rating a security can receive. But Naren uses the acronym differently to make a point about investor behaviour. He calls it 'anti-asset allocation' because investors often mistake a strong past performance for an assurance of future returns.

"Asset allocation is buying after a correction in an asset class. And buying an unpopular asset class, I would call this asset allocation," the veteran fund manager.

The distinction, according to Naren, is particularly relevant in an investment environment where investors are increasingly drawn to assets that have already generated outsized returns. The problem is that buying into a popular investment theme is easy, while putting money into an asset that has fallen out of favour requires patience.

Silver's 216% rally brought investors rushing in

Naren illustrated his…

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