The current dry spell follows an October characterized by 13% above-average rainfall, driven in part by Storm Austen and Storm Boelo making October 24 the joint-sixth wettest day on record. Even though England endured its wettest week in two years, the Environment Agency stressed that sustained winter rain is required after the record-breaking summer. Conditions will remain mostly dry through the week with temperatures falling slightly, though a weak low-pressure system from France may introduce patchy rain by the weekend.
Key points
High pressure will keep conditions largely settled, chilly, and dry across the UK through…: High pressure will keep conditions largely settled, chilly, and dry across the UK through the end of the week.
Sustained winter precipitation remains necessary to officially recover from ongoing droug…: Sustained winter precipitation remains necessary to officially recover from ongoing drought conditions caused by the historic summer heat.
Atlantic weather fronts may eventually replace the high-pressure system, though forecaste…: Atlantic weather fronts may eventually replace the high-pressure system, though forecasters see no immediate signs of major storms.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
- Published
High pressure has seized control of the UK weather meaning largely dry, settled but chilly autumn conditions will continue this week.
Days will bring a mix of patchy cloud, sunny spells and a few showers, with frost and fog expected to form at night - especially in northern and western areas.
Temperatures will generally be around or a little below the seasonal norm and it will feel particularly chilly in southern England and south Wales where there will be a brisk easterly breeze.
The relatively quiet start to November follows a decidedly mixed October which - according to Met Office data just released was wetter, warmer and sunnier than average.
October sunshine and storms
Provisional Met Office statistics show that the UK received 13% more rain overall than in a typical October.
All four nations had above average rainfall but the trend was particularly clear in northern Scotland, which came in 31% above the long-term average.
The wettest weather came during the final third of the month, especially as Storm Austen and Storm Boelo swept through.
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