Finance1 min read

Dollar declines ahead of US midterms as oil falls; bitcoin steadies after crypto theft

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In short

Equities rebounded from recent steep declines as a six percent drop in oil prices reduced supply worries following Middle East peace discussions. Resilient manufacturing data supported economic sentiment, with the U.S. Institute for Supply Management index rising to 55.5 alongside steady European factory activity. Digital asset markets also stabilized after a historic multi-billion dollar breach at Binance led to massive platform withdrawals.

Key points

  • Global manufacturing activity remained resilient in October despite ongoing challenges fr…: Global manufacturing activity remained resilient in October despite ongoing challenges from elevated input and production costs.
  • Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East alleviated energy disruption fears, helpi…: Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East alleviated energy disruption fears, helping to lift equity markets after October losses.
  • Major European currencies strengthened against the weakening dollar, supported by solid l…: Major European currencies strengthened against the weakening dollar, supported by solid local manufacturing output and potential interest rate adjustments.

Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1

NEW YORK, Nov 2 : The dollar eased on Monday as oil prices tumbled and equities climbed ahead of a week full of catalysts, including the US midterm elections, a host of data on the US labor market and multiple central bank rate decisions.

Crude prices tumbled about 6 per cent as continuing talks between Iranian and Qatari officials on ending the US-Israeli war with Iran lifted hopes for reduced disruptions to supply from the Middle East.

The easing of oil prices helped buoy stocks after the Nasdaq suffered in October its biggest monthly percentage decline since March 2025, largely due to growing concerns about massive spending by companies on the emerging AI technology.

"What we have broadly is just a resilient market. Oil prices, the December WTI tested 105 on Friday, and we're below 100 now," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets in New York.

"When we went into the weekend, everything looked bad. Stocks had sold off, oil was at new contract highs in the December WTI. And we come back from the weekend,…

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