The Indian American Attitudes Survey, conducted by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace with YouGov, shows 62 percent of Indian-American citizens plan to vote Democratic, while only 19 percent back Republicans. The erosion of conservative support follows controversial second-term policies, including workplace raids, limitations on birthright citizenship, and a contentious new H-1B visa fee opposed by two-thirds of respondents. Furthermore, 74 percent of surveyed community members strongly reject deporting immigrants to third countries. However, this electoral trend is partly driven by resistance rather than pure Democratic loyalty, as 35 percent of prospective Democratic voters ci…
Key points
Strong pushback against aggressive federal immigration restrictions and perceived racial…: Strong pushback against aggressive federal immigration restrictions and perceived racial hostility is actively eroding recent Republican inroads with the demographic.
Although Democratic voting intentions have sharply rebounded, roughly 26 percent of respo…: Although Democratic voting intentions have sharply rebounded, roughly 26 percent of respondents still identify as independents, indicating continued long-term political fluidity.
The geographic concentration of Indian Americans in key states like Texas, Georgia, and M…: The geographic concentration of Indian Americans in key states like Texas, Georgia, and Michigan gives their voting shifts strategic electoral importance.
Sources checked by our analysis pipeline: 1
TOI Correspondent From Washington: Donald Trump made an unlikely political breakthrough in 2024, prising away a slice of Indian-American voters from a community that had reliably backed Democrats for decades. Two years later, the romance appears to have soured.
A new survey by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace finds that the Republican gains have largely evaporated, with Indian-Americans swinging back towards Democrats ahead of the November 2026 midterms. According to the Indian American Attitudes Survey conducted in October, 62 per cent of Ind-Am citizens intend to vote Democratic in their congressional district, against just 19 per cent backing Republicans, whittled down from nearly 30 per cent who voted for Trump in 2024. Another 12 per cent are undecided. Senate voting intentions show a similar pattern: 63 per cent favour Democrats and 21 per cent Republicans.
The nationally representative survey of 1,000 Indian-American adults, conducted with YouGov between October 7 and 27, has a margin of error of 3.87 percent.
The reversal is striking: In 2020, 68 per cent intended to vote for Joe Biden against 22 per cent for…
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