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The finding complicates the usual explanation for Delhi’s winter pollution, that the air quality crisis is mainly the result of Diwali fireworks and stubble burning around October/November. The capital city enters winter with pollution from vehicles, construction, industries, waste burning and neighbouring NCR districts already trapped in the air.
“Diwali pollution is an annual tipping point, but elevated particulate levels before the festival this year show that baseline pollution is higher than in previous years,” CSE executive director Anumita Roychowdhury said.
The smoke was already building
CSE compared air quality data, pollution source estimates and traffic conditions during October and November 2026. It found that the average PM2.5 level in the week before Diwali was 236 micrograms per cubic metre, compared with 120 in 2025 and 179 in 2024.PM2.5 refers to fine particles in the air that are 2.5 micrometres or smaller. They can come from vehicle exhaust, industrial emissions, smoke from fires and burning, and can travel deep into the lungs.
According to the World Health Organization’s 2021 air quality guidelines, PM2.5…